Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 0.054352 0.058948 0.063598 0.068646 0.073965 0.079396 0.085354
2025-03-30 0.047603 0.054390 0.061495 0.069460 0.078112 0.087200 0.097441
2025-04-06 0.041737 0.050014 0.058948 0.069246 0.080728 0.093077 0.107300
2025-04-13 0.038248 0.047795 0.058380 0.070875 0.085109 0.100714 0.119006
2025-04-20 0.034028 0.044323 0.056040 0.070188 0.086635 0.104987 0.126844
2025-04-27 0.031058 0.042020 0.054793 0.070529 0.089147 0.110238 0.135698
2025-05-04 0.029021 0.040636 0.054459 0.071792 0.092613 0.116507 0.145679
2025-05-11 0.027716 0.040021 0.054942 0.073942 0.097068 0.123899 0.156972
2025-05-18 0.024373 0.036596 0.051772 0.071466 0.095824 0.124461 0.160164
2025-05-25 0.022307 0.034671 0.050340 0.071008 0.096919 0.127720 0.166485
2025-06-01 0.020470 0.032918 0.049013 0.070580 0.097966 0.130861 0.172626
2025-06-08 0.019888 0.032820 0.049795 0.072809 0.102306 0.138007 0.183622
2025-06-15 0.018893 0.032121 0.049786 0.074052 0.105483 0.143844 0.193202
2025-06-22 0.017841 0.031275 0.049534 0.074947 0.108211 0.149145 0.202174
2025-06-29 0.016484 0.029900 0.048490 0.074740 0.109487 0.152625 0.208916
2025-07-06 0.015888 0.029608 0.048909 0.076466 0.113259 0.159244 0.219578
2025-07-13 0.014552 0.028108 0.047564 0.075746 0.113793 0.161752 0.225115
2025-07-20 0.013655 0.027224 0.047043 0.076108 0.115720 0.166014 0.232851
2025-07-27 0.013112 0.026860 0.047239 0.077440 0.118923 0.171909 0.242659
2025-08-03 0.012869 0.026961 0.048105 0.079707 0.123389 0.179451 0.254597
2025-08-10 0.011327 0.024824 0.045571 0.077098 0.121217 0.178365 0.255531
2025-08-17 0.010453 0.023744 0.044566 0.076616 0.121890 0.180947 0.261133
2025-08-24 0.009650 0.022730 0.043612 0.076165 0.122573 0.183522 0.266719